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Estimating the Benefits of Government-Sponsored Energy Research and Development, May 4 and 5, Hilton Crystal City

Agenda

Conference Chair: Russell Lee, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Conference Facilitator: Douglas R. Brookman, Public Solutions, Inc.

Monday, March 4 ]   [ Tuesday, March 5 ]

Monday, March 4, 2002
Time Session
7:15 - 8:00 Continental breakfast
8:00 - 8:45
1. Conference Opening, Overview, Background, and Objectives
     Russell Lee, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
     C. Michael Smith, Office of Fossil Energy, U.S. Department of Energy
     Loretta Beaumont, U.S. House of Representatives Interior Appropriations Staff
8:45 - 9:30
2. Methods Currently Used by DOE Offices to Estimate the Benefits of Their R&D Programs
     Mary Beth Zimmerman, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, DOE
     Jay Braitsch, Office of Fossil Energy, DOE
     Trevor L. Cook Office of Nuclear Energy, Science, and Technology, DOE
     Robert Vallario, Office of Science, DOE
9:30 - 10:15
3. Federal Perspectives on Performance Measurement
     Jeanne Powell, Advanced Technology Program,
National Institute of Standards and Technology
     Robert Pearce, Office of Aerospace Technology,
National Aeronautical and Space Administration
     Robert C. Ricci, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center,
U.S. Department of Transportation
     Mark A. Weatherly, Office of Management and Budget
10:15 - 10:30 Break
10:30 - 11:00
4. Establishing a Starting Point for Discussion of a Methodological Framework
for Defining R&D Benefits


    National Research Council Framework for Defining the Benefits of R&D
     Robert Fri, Resources for the Future
     James L. Sweeney, Stanford University


    Building on the Framework
     Russell Lee, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
11:00 - 11:15

5. Structure, Goals, and Priorities of the Workshops
     Douglas R. Brookman, Public Solutions, Inc.

11:15 - 12:15
Workshop A:
Prospective Benefits -- Cross-Cutting Issues
Workshop B:
Option Value
Workshop C:
Knowledge Value
Workshop D:
Security, Economic, and Environmental Benefits
· Facilitator, Day 1:
   Lisa Frantzis,
   AD Little
· Rapporteur, Day 1:
   James L. Wolf,
   Independent
   Consultant
· Facilitator, Day 1:
   Nalin Kulatilaka,
   Boston University
· Rapporteur, Day 1:
   Brandon Owens,
   National Renewable
   Energy Laboratory
· Facilitator, Day 1:
   Susan E. Cozzens,
   Georgia Institute of
   Technology
· Rapporteur, Day 1:
   Gretchen Jordan,
   Sandia National
   Laboratories
· Facilitator, Day 1:
   Rachel Winters,
   NYSERDA
· Rapporteur, Day 1:
   Paul Leiby,
   Oak Ridge National
   Laboratory

A1. Framework for defining the benefits of R&D programs, and its use for GPRA and R&D planning and evaluation

B1. Framework for defining the benefits of R&D programs, and its use for GPRA and R&D planning and evaluation

C1. Framework for defining the benefits of R&D programs, and its use for GPRA and R&D planning and evaluation

D1. Framework for defining the benefits of R&D programs, and its use for GPRA and R&D planning and evaluation

12:15 - 1:30 Luncheon and Keynote Address
     William D. Magwood, IV, Director, Office of Nuclear Energy, Science, and Technology,
U.S. Department of Energy
1:30 - 2:30
6. Summaries and Feedback on the Workshops' Discussions of a Benefits Framework
     James L. Wolf, Independent Consultant
     Brandon Owens, National Renewable Energy Laboratory
     Gretchen Jordan, Sandia National Laboratories
     Paul Leiby, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
2:30 - 4:00
Workshop A:
Prospective Benefits -- Cross-Cutting Issues
Workshop B:
Option Value
Workshop C:
Knowledge Value
Workshop D:
Security, Economic, and Environmental Benefits

A2. Defining and calculating the projected baseline on which new technologies are to be introduced

B2. Definition of options and the calculation of option value

C2. Definition of knowledge value and indicators

D2. Security benefits of R&D on energy technologies and systems

· Frances Wood,
   OnLocation
· James Turnure,
   ICF Consulting
· Robert L. Hirsch,
   RAND
· John J. Wise,
   retired and formerly
   with Mobil Research
   and Development
   Company
· Graham Davis,
   Colorado School
   of Mines
· Soussan Faiz,
   Independent
   Consultant
· Gregory L. Hamm,
   Independent
   Consultant
· Irwin Feller,
   The Pennsylvania
   State University
· Diana Hicks,
   CHI
· David L. Greene,
   Oak Ridge
   National Laboratory
· John Stringer,
   EPRI
· Paula L. Scalingi,
   The Scalingi Group
· Marjorie L. Tatro,
   Sandia National
   Laboratories
4:00 - 4:15 Break
4:15 - 5:30
Workshop A:
Prospective Benefits -- Cross-Cutting Issues
Workshop B:
Option Value
Workshop C:
Knowledge Value
Workshop D:
Security, Economic, and Environmental Benefits

A3. Continued discussion of projected baseline

B3. Continued discussion of option value

C3. Continued discussion of knowledge value

D3. Continued discussion of security benefits

5:30 - 7:00 Reception
7:00 on Dinner and keynote Address
     Joseph S. Wholey, University of Southern California
Tuesday, March 5, 2002
Time Session
7:15 - 8:00 Continental breakfast
8:00 - 9:00
7. Review the First Day's Workshops and Review of the Second Day of Workshops
     James L. Wolf, Independent Consultant
     Brandon Owens, National Renewable Energy Laboratory
     Gretchen Jordan, Sandia National Laboratories
     Paul Leiby, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
9:00 - 10:30

Workshop A:
Prospective Benefits -- Cross-Cutting Issues

Workshop B:
Option Value

Workshop C:
Knowledge Value

Workshop D:
Security, Economic, and Environmental Benefits

· Facilitator, Day 2:
   Lisa Frantzis,
   AD Little
· Rapporteur, Day 2:
   James L. Wolf,
   Independent
   Consultant
· Facilitator, Day 2:
   Dennis Clough,
   Aspen Systems
· Rapporteur, Day 2:
   Brandon Owens,
   National Renewable
   Energy Laboratory
· Facilitator, Day 2:
   Susan E. Cozzens,
   Georgia Institute of
   Technology
· Rapporteur, Day 2:
   Gretchen Jordan,
   Sandia National
   Laboratories
· Facilitator, Day 2:
   Gunnar Walmet,
   NYSERDA
· Rapporteur, Day 2:
   Paul Leiby,
   Oak Ridge National
   Laboratory

A4. The effect of a government's R&D program on technology deployment and use

B4. The baseline scenario for option-value calculations

C4. The baseline scenario for knowledge-value calculations

D4. Economic benefits of R&D on energy technologies and systems

· Ric Cheston,
   General Accounting
   Office
· Thomas Pelsoci,
   Delta Research Co.
· Rosalie Ruegg,
   TIA Consulting

Selected participants from Workshop A will join this session

Selected participants from Workshop A will join this session
· Molly Kenna
   Macauley,
   Resources for
   the Future
· M. Ishaq Nadiri,
   New York University
10:30 - 10:45 Break
10:45 - 12:15

Workshop A:
Prospective Benefits -- Cross-Cutting Issues

Workshop B:
Option Value

Workshop C:
Knowledge Value

Workshop D:
Security, Economic, and Environmental Benefits

A5. Continued discussion of the effect of a government's R&D program on technology deployment and use

B5. Effect of a government's R&D programs on option value

C5. Effect of a government's R&D programs on knowledge value

D5. Environmental benefits of R&D on energy technologies and systems

 

Selected participants from Workshop A will join this session

Selected participants from Workshop A will join this session

· Michael McKee,
   University of
   New Mexico
· Robert Costanza,
   University of
   Maryland
12:15 - 1:30
Luncheon and Keynote Address
     David K. Garman, Assistant Secretary, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy,
U.S. Department of Energy
1:30 - 3:00

Workshop A:
Prospective Benefits -- Cross-Cutting Issues

Workshop B:
Option Value

Workshop C:
Knowledge Value

Workshop D:
Security, Economic, and Environmental Benefits

A6. Using estimates of benefits in R&D program planning and evaluation

B6. Using estimates of benefits in R&D program planning and evaluation

C6. Using estimates of benefits in R&D program planning and evaluation

D6. Using estimates of benefits in R&D program planning and evaluation

· John Mortensen,
   Consultant
· Helen Kim,
   NYSERDA
· Scott H. Mathews,
   Boeing Phantom
   Works
· Steffan Gackstatter,
   AD Little
· J. David Roessner,
   SRI International
· Parry M. Norling,
   Dupont and RAND
· Scott W. Tinker,
   University of Texas
· John Stringer,
   EPRI
3:00 - 3:15 Break
3:15 - 4:15
8. Workshop Summaries and Discussion
     James L. Wolf, Independent Consultant
     Brandon Owens, National Renewable Energy Laboratory
     Gretchen Jordan, Sandia National Laboratories
     Paul Leiby, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
4:15 - 4:30
9. Next Steps and Closing Remarks
     Russell Lee, Oak Ridge National Laboratory


If you have any questions, please contact:
Ms. Stephanie Floyd
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
P.O. Box 2008, Oak Ridge, TN 37831-6207
Phone: 865-574-5517; Fax: 865-574-8272; E-mail: floydsd@ornl.gov
or
Russell Lee
Phone: 865-576-6818; Fax: 865-574-8272; E-mail: leerm@ornl.gov


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Updated: February 28, 2002